Recommending a “Hold” on the Ben McAdoo Stock, with a “Negative outlook”

hold

 

When Tony Romo went down in the preseason game against the Seahawks the Giants were immediately designated the division champion. It was up to the Giants to give away the NFC east title considering the Cowboys were forced to start a first year rookie, the Eagles were considered to be cleaning up after the Chip years and Redskins, well they were still the Redskins. Considering the Eagles would soon follow suit with the Cowboys and start their rookie QB after trading away Sam Bradford to the Vikings (who would subsequently burn the Giants) it seemed almost too easy for the New York Football Giants.

The Giants spent nearly $200 million on free agents to sure up the defense and give Spags the tools he needed to return big blue to the defense teams feared. This would be the third year for the McAdoo hybrid west coast offense and the Giants offensive line would be returning 3 starters who all have shown promise of being able to protect Eli and establish a running game.  The Giants drafted two offensive skilled position players who showed in the preseason “they got game”.  It felt like Jerry might have saved his job this offseason with his free agent signings and draft picks.

Countering these moves is the head coach position. Many questioned if the second-year offensive coordinator was ready for a head coaching job. Was the fear of losing McAdoo, the man who turned the Giants offense into a high powered scoring machine, greater than the need for a seasoned head coach? Were the Giants prepared for the learning curve McAdoo will need as a head coach?  At 4-3 the Giants are 2nd in the NFC east behind the surprising 6-1 Cowboys (only loss the NYG in week 1) and tied with the Eagles and Redskins (0-1 to Skins this season). There hasn’t been a game this season that the signs of a first-year head coach are not evident. No matter a win or lose the Giants look unprepared, sloppy and undisciplined. The dynamic offense feels Kevin Gilbride predictable as evidenced by the fact the Giants have yet to score on their opening drive this season. Self-inflicted penalties like false starts, illegal formation, and incorrect routes being run are all examples of undisciplined football. Yet game after game rather than seeing these penalties decrease they continue to be a constant. It has become evident that as a Head Coach McAdoo can’t be as involved with the offense as he was as a coordinator and Mike Sullivan (2nd year offensive coordinator, Tampa 2012-2013) hasn’t found his groove as a play caller.  The most moving statistic regarding the Giants offense is the fact they are averaging 7-less points this season as compared to last.  That COULD (I STRESS COULD, and not WOULD) mean two more wins (Redskins {29-27} & Packers {23-16) this season}.

Considering the faults of the offense I find it hard to be a huge critic of the defense. Yes there is an expectation that the lack of pressure from the front four, a huge issue over the past four years, would have been fixed with the free agent signing of Harrison, Vernon and JPP.  The sexy statistics like sacks, which the Giants are currently 31st out of 32 NFL teams are lacking.  The same can be said about hits and hurries which I consider more important than sacks (the QB gets happy feet and makes snap judgment decisions, e.g. how Eli plays each game) since those can change a QB’s mental state in game.  But when the Giants lose the time of possession (TOP) game 5 out of 7 games this season that means the defense is on the field way more than they should. More time on the field means tired legs which leads to lack of productivity.

time-of-possession-week-8

A lack of pressure and or expected hits places a huge amount of pressure on the secondary to maintain coverage for an extended period of times.  This might explain why the Giants have the worse defense on 3rd downs. They can’t get teams off the field because the secondary is chasing receivers for extended periods of time. Take the Packers game for example; Aaron Rodgers looked like he could have ordered a pizza in the backfield. If you expect your cornerbacks to maintain coverage when a QB has 3+ seconds to pass the ball you’re insane. And that is exactly what the Giants secondary has to contend with.  Which is probably why the Giants defense is 22nd in pass defense but 6th in yards per rush and 11th in total offense allowed.  I tie the failure of the defense directly to the failures of the Giants’ offense.

roller-skatesThe Giants lead the league in lack of production on 1st downs and consistently face long third downs are once again a consistent issue for the Giants offense; a painful reminder of the final years with KillDrive.  When the offensive line can’t get push off the line and looks like they’re on roller skates the running game suffers. Suffers all the way down 32/32 NFL teams and makes play calling predictable.  Predictable play calling makes average defenses into incredible defenses.

 

Each and every Eagles game is always huge. They’re an NFC East rival, proximity rival, fan base rival, etc… But this season, coming out of a bye, after very shaky and questionable first 7-games, I believe this will be the game that tells us a lot of about McAdoo as a head coach.  What adjustments will he make at the coaching level, play calling level, personnel level?  I’m not ready to sell McAdoo stock so I have him at a hold with a negative outlook until he shows he can make NFL head coaching decisions, adjustments, and clean up a sloppy and undisciplined team.  Win or lose how the Giants are coached will be what I’m paying attention to.




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Posted in Opinion, Regular Season

Sloppy, unprepared and undisciplined

Football: Jets-v-Eagles, Sep 2009 - 29

Three words I used when I watched last week’s loss to the Viking. After going two straight games with limited penalties the Giants have exploded into a penalty machine. The offense continues to struggle to find their rhythm and the defense is back to its roots of struggling to get off the field and depth at cornerback. One game is a bad day, two games now signals there are some issues that need to be addressed. I am not selling my stock in the Giants, in fact, this is a great time to start buying because their issues plaguing the Giant can be corrected. The gamble is purely on the coaching staff; can they fix the problems?
What has happened to the offense? By the third year you’d expect the system to be second hand but each week the Giants continue to regress. Last week Manning was throwing the ball into the ground, when the passes are in the air either there is confusion on the route or Manning was just missing the target. The offensive line still struggles to burst off the ball and create a running game. Last week was the first week Manning wasn’t sacked (6 on the season) but he did show signs of nervous feet before he was in danger of getting hit (see bad pass comments above).
How bad is the offense this season? The Giants are last in the NFL in 1st down production. Meaning they are either penalized, don’t gain any yards or lose yards on 1st down. A lack of production on 1st down sets up a long second down which then leads to a long third down and finally the lack of third down conversions. This could be the result of a total and lack of a running game. The Giants are 19th in the NFL in total rushing yards and 18th in yards per rush. If you can’t establish a running game, one that keeps the defense honest, then you can drop 7 into coverage and force Eli to make perfect throws. Which thus far has to lead the Giants to long third downs and is probably why they are 25th in the NFL in third-down conversions. Do you realize the Giants beat the Saints without an offensive touchdown?
Holy hell what happened to the defense. Note those who bemoan the Giants should have better depth at cornerback. When you spend $200mm on four free agents in which one is a cornerback this is what happens when there is injuries. And when there are injuries and a weakness at corner teams are going to pound. And the Vikings did exactly that on Trevin Wade. The Giants front four has been wildly underperforming over the first four weeks of the season. The Giants defense is last in the NFL on 3rd down stops, a bottom ranking team on hurries, hits and sacks. Vernon is the energizer bunny, he is on so many plays that aren’t even to his side of the ball. In fact, all the front four are hyperactive on the field but they are not being put into a situation to get the sacks they need.
Not shocking that when the Giants won the time of possession game they won. As well as when they were close to or exceed 50% of third down conversions. But since the opening game the Giants are steadily trending down on third down conversions (69% to 17%).
The Giants have a very challenging schedule ahead of them. The problems they have had over the first four weeks are correctable but there is an immediacy to fix these problems. Injury issues will always be a problem but something like unsportsmanlike penalties can be fixed as fast as the first quarter of this Sunday’s game.




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Where is the Offense?

trap-image

The Giants are 2-0 for the first time since 2009 when they won their first 5-games only to go on and get smoked in New Orleans and lose their next four.  I wasn’t sure how to grade the Giants after starting 2-0 and after reviewing their game stats it’s very clear the defense they bought this off-season is paying off.  When is the last time the Giants defense has kept them in a game? 2009? 2011? Someone, anyone, tell me?  That being said, where the hell is the offense? The Giants have dominated time of possession, even after the horrid start in Dallas when the Cowboys controlled the ball for the entire first half; the Giants have possessed the ball in each of the first two games 34-plus minutes.  The Giants have also been lucky with the teams they are playing. The Cowboys have become the poster child of injury, narrowly beating out the Giants, and the Saints are a hollow shell of their dominant teams of the past.

For a team that hasn’t been known for their defense 2016 ha been a pleasant surprise. Though it might not look as sexy as we would like, the Giants defense has been massively successful in neutralizing the opposition.

  • Cowboys: One of the top offensive lines in the NFL couldn’t get the push to establish a run game. The Giants forced Prescott into a dink and dunk passing game with Dez locked up by Jenkins.
  • Saints: The Saints only converted 23% of their 13 3rd downs and converted only 1 rushing first down.

The Giants front four have been great at setting the tone early in games by only allowing 71 total rushing yards (4th in NFL against the rush). Jenkin’s through two games has lived up to the hype. But even with all this, the Giants are still only one of five teams (Titans, Buccaneers, Chiefs & Colts). So the good news is even as good as the defense is playing there is still plenty of upside to get even better.

Where is all the offense? It’s been hard to watch in the redzone; in particular, last game when the Giants went 0-3 against the 21st ranked Saints defense. When the season started I set the line at 3 for the number of games the offensive line would play together as a unit before someone got hurt. Well I fell short as Newhouse is out for Sunday’s game and Bobby Hart filling in his sport. Even though statistically the Giants offensive line ranks out decent their play certainly tells a different story. The run game continues to struggle and the line is starting to break down and it’s week 3. The good news for the offense continues to be the Giants receiving corps. Victor Cruz defied critics and not only looks comfortable on the field but has been able to find the

The good news for the offense continues to be the Giants receiving corps. Victor Cruz defied critics and not only looks comfortable on the field but has been able to find the endzone and second round pick Sterling Shepard is showing signs of being everything Rueben Randle wasn’t (size, speed, running complete routes). Drops continue to haunt ODB but will soon be all but forgotten when he dazzles with an amazing catch. But drops should be remembered as this is a significant statistic (yes I know he also gets a ton of targets).
This week feels like a classic trap game. The Redskins have been HORRIBLE, the locker room tension is the center of media coverage and the Giants are playing good. Don’t be surprised if the Redskins who under little coverage have been a contender against fellow NFC east teams. I hope I’m wrong but I won’t be shocked if the traditional home favorite Giants drop a game everyone assumes they will win.
KEY: Sterling Shepard isn’t baited into a 2015 Norman/ODB situation.




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It Start’s Tomorrow….

roller-skates

The Offensive Line Can’t Be on Roller Skates This Year

There is no better position to be in than the where the Giant are now. The “Pros” have the Giants a mediocre 8-8 or 9-7 which should still be “good enough” to win the NFC east. Given that summertime Super Bowl favorite Dallas Cowboys have fallen apart even before the season started.  So in an off-season full of big money free agent acquisitions and draft full of Jerry Reese question marks have the Giants addressed the issues that continue to plague them?

The preseason is never a great gauge of how the Giants will do.

  • 2015 Season: 2-2 / 6-10
  • 2014 Season: 5-0 (HOF game) / 6-10
  • 2013 Season: 1-3 / 7-9
  • 2012 Season: 2-2 / 9-7
  • 2011 Season: 2-2 / 9-7

But you should be concerned after seeing how poorly the offensive line played. The only big splashes the Giants had this off season that was related to their offensive line was the Giants decision to move forward without Beatty or Schwartz (previous big free agent signing). After passing in the free agent market and then again on offensive lineman Laremy Tunsil in the first round the Giants are trying their hand at good enough. So much so they recently resigned Will Beatty who will is listed as backing up Marshall Newhouse at right tackle.

The Giants success this year will yet again be hinged on the performance of their offensive line. The McAdoo offense is a system of short drops with quick releases. This mitigates or better put “masks” subpar play by the Giants line. Though they ranked upper middle last year based on total offense the Giants were one of the worst rushing offenses in the league. Want to know why? I’ll let you guess. What will be instrumental to the offensive line success are the consecutive games played by the starting five. This hurts any football team and is one of the major issues that have plagued the Giants.

2015

  1. LT) Beatty
  2. LG) Richburg
  3. C) JD Walton
  4. RG) Schwartz
  5. RT) Pugh

2016

  1. LT) Flowers
  2. LG) Pugh
  3. C) Richburg
  4. RG) Jerry
  5. RT) Newhouse

As we all painfully witnessed last year the Giants inability to stop teams from scoring at the end of games would ultimately become TC’s demise. So if you can’t draft them might as well pay them huge sums of money to come help solve the problem.  I’m going to contradict my earlier statement about the preseason being a terrible gauge.  Whereas the offense only see’s plain vanilla single coverage defenses the Giant’s defense did showcase the individual play of their big free agent signing.

Vernon & Harrison have shown to be great compliments to big Hank and JPP.  With Jenkins opposite DRC the only question mark will be the health and performance of the linebacker play. If the Giants could have closed game out last season there are 3 or 4 maybe even possibly 5 games they could have won. If these offseason upgrades can win 2-4 or those losses, it should be viewed as money well spent.

Depending on the analysis the Giants are either bad or really bad at drafting. But tell us news we already don’t know. How bad are the Giants at drafting?

  • (19) 1st to 3rd round drafted players no longer on roster vs. 13 players remain on the roster **resigning of Beatty
  • (30) 4th to 7th round drafted players no longer on roster vs. 10 players remain on the roster

The Giants will face the NFC & AFC North this season which plenty of cold weather games. Having a running game will be instrumental in time of possession and 3rd down conversions which are two huge aspects of winning football games.

The Giants face the Cowboys week 1; an opponent that has owned the Giants (1-6 over past 4-years).  With Romo out there should be a clear advantage with a rookie QB leading the Cowboys.  I expect a win based purely on that stat alone. But my focus will be on how the offensive line performs and how the Giants front four do against one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. The Giants have lacked backfield pressure for years and given the amount of money invested in Harrison and Vernon expectations are high.




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The Giants problems are a giant problem

Giants Problems

Another week, another loss and another lost opportunity for the New York football Giants.  As the season goes on it’s becoming that the biggest problem the Giants currently have is the lack of available talent. Remove O’Dell Beckham and the offense have Eli and a bunch of middle of the road linemen.  The running game is showing some life but nothing consistent.  The once deep in talent wide receiving corp is now O’Dell Beckham and the other guys.  The defense has no upfront explosion on the line, outside of respectable play by JPP and the line backers continue to follow in the great Giants tradition of late of being forgettable.  Our corners are compromised by the weakness at Safety.

Week 15 Losses consolidated

 

The Giants season comes down the Eagles vs. Redskins game tonight (Saturday).  If the Eagles beat the Redskins the Giants will have to play for the season tomorrow night against the Vikings.  If the Redskins win tonight they will win the NFC East and the Giants playoff hopes will disappear as well.

Week 15 Redzone Goal To Go

week 15 Third downs

The Giants continue to underperform in key parts of the field. Most importantly on third down where they only converted 40% of the time last week which was slightly above their season average of 38%.  Sunday also was another game when the GMEN didn’t have a single “Goal to Go” although they were an impressive 3 for 4 inside the red zone.

So it comes down to this. We watch, we wait; we hope.




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Analytics are tough in the NFL but trends do exist: Wins vs. Losses

2015 week 13

The Giants defense continues to struggle to put teams away late.  I’m willing to make the argument that the pace of the offense greatly affects the Giants ability to rest their defense throughout the game?  The offense is great when it’s rolling and moving the ball down field quickly and accurately. But when the Giants can’t run the ball, miss a second down pass play and face long third down, 62% of the time the defense will be on the field in less than two minutes.

Let’s take a look at some wins vs. loss trends

  • 7-turnovers in wins, 10-turnovers in losses
  • Time of possession (5/6 games) in wins 0/6 in losses)
  • 11 of 22 in wins & 8/31 in losses when in the red zone
  • 6 of 7 in wins & 5 of 9 in losses when facing “goal to go”
  • 77% converting on third down in wins against their season average of 38.64% & 36.08% in losses
  • 19 point differential wins ({29.33} points vs. losses {23.14})
  • Average 3-touchdowns in wins and 2.6 touchdowns in losses
  • 3 total sacks in wins vs 18 in losses



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The impact of a team with no running game is powering the Giants failures this season

Tom Coughlin arms

The last three games have been painful to watch as a New York Giants fan.  The Giants have tied an NFL record with 5-games in which they were leading into the final two minutes of the game and lost the game.   The last three games have been particularly hard to watch. The injuries to the already average offensive line have made the Giants so one sided it hard to believe they can still get the ball to O’Dell Beckham Junior (OBJ).  Against the Jets OBJ was targeted 42% of the time and made up 36% of the Giants total yards from scrimmage.  That is a reflection of the Jets defense but more importantly highlights the litany of problems the Giants have.

  • For a team that HAD a deep bench at wide receiver the Giants now seem thin at play makers. Harris (#3 WR) has stepped up huge this season essentially taking targets and catches as if he was the #2 WR.   Where is Rueben Randle?  Miles White (#19) who signed on a Tuesday mid-season has been getting reps and targets. What is going on!?!?!?!?
  • Dye has been a huge contributor at tight end/full back BUT the Giants lack a true blocking tight end.
  • The offensive line is battered but even before that McAdoo’s timing offense of creates a façade of good play. If you look at the running numbers they prove a different story. They’re blown off the line and leave the running back searching for the line of scrimmage.
  • The Giants defense is on the field A LOT. A three and out for the Giants can happen in less than 2-minutes with the McAdoo offense.  This is due to the complete lack of a productive running game.
  • The Giants are now using a running back by committee with four running backs. Four running backs is not the recipe of success.

The above contribute to this:

  • The Giants convert 38% on third downs, including 14/45 over the past three losses
  • 23 of 51 in the red zone and 1 for 9  over the past three losses
  • 12 of 23 in “goal to go”. If you can’t run the ball you’re probably scoring outside of “goal to go” situations
  • 29th in the NFL in rushing ahead of Charges, Lions and Browns
  • The Giants can’t run the ball so they can’t run the clock. They have won Time of Possession (TOP) only 3-times this year (two other “wins” were separated by less than a minute).  In the second Cowboy game the Cowboys had the ball for 17 more minutes.  In each loss the Giants have lost the TOP game.

If the Giants games were 75-second shorter the GMEN would be 10-2 and not 5-7. They currently have the toughest schedule remaining in the NFC East.  They could still win the division with no hope of a wildcard. It’s black and white this season; In order to play in January the Giants MUST win the NFC east.




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Posted in Regular Season

Past Results Not Indicative Future Performance

Brady sitting on the field

Not many teams can say they have a winning record against Bill Belichick and the Patriots. Tom Coughlin is 5-1 in his career against Belichick and 3-1 since 2008 with two super bowl rings.  When Belicheck was asked about Coughlin his response was “Tom is very intense”.  Pot meet kettle.  Coughlin and Belicheck are disciples from the Parcells Giants era when Belichick was the defensive coordinator and Coughlin the wide receiver coach in the late 80’s.  If there is one coach in the NFL that doesn’t fear the Patriots, it’s Tom Coughlin.  Sunday’s game is strikingly similar to week 17 in 2007 when the Giants turned around their season and hosted the 15-0 Patriots in the final regular season game.  The Giants had secured their place in the playoffs as a wildcard. Nothing required the Giants to play with the intensity they did that night other than to show the NFL that Tom Coughlin doesn’t take a game off.  Sitting in the end zone seats that night I can tell you that outside of attending the Super Bowl 5 weeks later, the intensity in Giants Stadium and on the field was unbelievable.  Many of the Giants will attest that during that game the Patriots were forced to show many different looks previously not shown during the regular season. These new looks gave the Giants an edge when they would meet again in Glendale.  A great read regarding this game is a story about the voicemail left by John Madden for Tom Coughlin following the loss that night.

Here we are 8-years later and the Giants are hosting the 8-0 Patriots but this time the Giants need a win. With a slim 1-game lead over the Eagles (0-1) the Giants can’t afford another loss especially as the Eagles next three games include the Dolphins, Bucs and Lions.  Past results not indicative future performance; no words could better suit this game.

From an offensive standpoint you can expect both teams to be explosive though both the Giants and Patriots rushing games are bottom 1/4th of the league.  It’s okay because both of the teams do throw the ball effectively and frequently. The Giants have attempted 340 passes this season with the Patriots attempting 328. As we saw in New Orleans a shootout isn’t a problem for the Giants and the offense.  It’s the defense that is the question mark.

In the 2015 version the roles have been reversed on defense.  The Giants have the league’s lowest sack total of 9, while the Patriots triple that total with the NFL’s second highest total of 27.  Chandler Jones the defensive end for the Patriots has 9.5 sacks along this season; topping the entire Giants defense.  With the league’s worst pass defense matching up against the third best passing offense the Giants will be desperate to get to the Brady and create pressure.  With multiple injuries to the Patriots offensive line that can be a possibility. Possible, but probable?  Who knows!

There are many things the Giants can focus on for this game. How do they slow down the Brady, Gronk and Edleman? What if the Patriots abandoned the pass and attack with Blount & White running the ball against a bottom third rush defense?  The most difficult aspect of preparing for the Patriots is they don’t show the same scheme or play calling from week to week.  Like all NFL teams the Giants are suffering from injuries, on defense as well as on offense.  If there was a time for the front four to step and bring real pressure to the quarterback this is the week to do so. The thought of our linebackers and safeties matching up with a shifty Edleman (remember the Cowboy game where Beasley ran wild) or matching Gronk whose speed and size are freakish.

Outside of the Cowboy game there is no surprise that when the Giants win they control the time of possession.  The best way to beat a great offense is to keep them off the field.  But with an offense that can’t get a running game going all too often it feels more like a shootout than a game of control.  Over the past two games the Giants have drastically improved their redzone offense (6/8) and the goal to go (4/4).  If the running game continues to struggle than the offense needs to improve their 3rd down conversions one way or another. On the season the Giants convert 39.2% of the time and a woefully 21% of the time over the past two games.

Sunday will be a test to what the Giants can do with the limited resources they have available.

“Just called to congratulate you and your team for a great effort last night. Not good, but great. I think it’s one of the best things to happen in the NFL in the last ten years, and I don’t know if they all know it, but they should be very grateful to you and your team for what you did. I believe so firmly in this: that there is only one way to play the game, and it is a regular season game and you go out and win the darn game. I was just so proud being a part of the NFL and of what your guys did and the way you did it. You proved that it’s a game and there’s only one way to play the game and you did it. The NFL needed it. We’ve gotten too much of, “Well, they’re going to rest their players and don’t need to win, therefore they won’t win.” Well, that’s not sports and that’s not competition. I’m a little emotional about it. I’m just so proud. It’s something we all need to thank you for, and I believe the NFL needed that.”

-John Madden




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Posted in Regular Season

Thank You for the Turnovers but the Giants Are Still Far From Good

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - AUGUST 28:  Quarterback  Eli Manning #10 of the New York Giants looks on from the sideline in the second half during the preseason game against the New England Patriots at MetLife Stadium on August 28, 2014 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Giants won 16-13. (Photo by Jeff Zelevansky/Getty Images)

The Giants are on an unknown course this season. They lead the NFL with a turnover differential of +9.  What that means is the offense is not turning the ball over; a fascinating change of pace for the Giants and Eli. This honor is really due to the Cowboys who in two games have given up the ball 7 out of 9 opportunities (recovered 2 of 3 of their fumbles).  In both games the Giants were not super impressive as much as they were able to take advantage of the situation.  Time of possession over two games has been laughable:  Cowboys 75 mins to the Giants 44 minutes. This is not how you win games.

Through seven games the Giants convert 40.63% of their third downs.  Against the Cowboys the Giants converted 3 of 11 attempts for a lowly 27%.  Four times they have fallen below the season average of 40%. Only against the Niners and Falcons have the Giants converted double digit third down as well as converted over 50% of their attempts.

Week 8 3rd downs

The most concerning statistic for the Giants is the lack of ability to score when inside the redzone. On the season the Giants are only converting 47% of the time they are inside the 20-yard line.  Against the Cowboys the Giants were 1/3 which would mark the 4th time this season they have converted only once when they had more than three chances inside the 20.  Things don’t improve either when they move closer to the end zone. When facing “goal to go” the Giants have only converted 46% of the time. There has been three games when the Giants haven’t even had a “goal to go” set of downs.

Redzone and goal to go week 8

The point of this post is that as good as we might believe the Giants are playing there is a tremendous amount of upside that they have potential to achieve.




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Posted in Regular Season

Things Went From Good to Really Bad.

Lost Eli

Things started out great and it was almost as if everything drastically changed after DaMontre Moore showcased why the Giants coaches don’t feel he is mature enough to get more burn. Or was it that Chip Kelly and the Eagles staff made in game adjustments that Coughlin and Giants couldn’t stop?  Whatever the cause, the Giants got out played in Philadelphia on National TV.  The promise of dominating the NFC East not only went out the door on Monday night but rather it leveled off the balance of power between Philadelphia, New York and Dallas.   At 3-3 the Eagles now lead the NFC East with the Giants 2nd with the same 3 – 3 records.  Both teams have struggled with inter division games with 1-2 records.

As we start week 7 there are now statistics available to see how things are working.  Last week “Elliot” Manning the evil twin to Eli Manning reared his ugly head.  The offensive line finally showed their weakness after the Eagles defense made adjustments and took ODB out of the game.  The offensive line would eventually lose one full second of protection to the Eagles defensive rush thus giving Eli 2-seconds when he needs 3 to make his reads and progressions.   That led to more “Elliot” Manning than “Eli” Manning like passes or pass attempts (the bowling attempt is a great example of Elliot).  The Giants had their lowest offensive production of the season. After starting the first quarter red hot they completely stalled only producing 247 yards.   The offensive line gave up 3-sacks, the second time this season (Cowboys game 1) after only giving up 3- over the past four games.  These statistics support the performance we saw on Monday night.

On the season the Giants continue to fall below the line in regards to third downs, redzone and Goal to go.  Shockingly Monday night didn’t showcase the Giants worst third down performance which actually came against the Bills (20%).  Monday the Giants were 4 for 13 against the Eagles for 30.77%.  On the season the Giants convert 42.35% on third downs.  Converting third downs are important because it keeps the defense on the field and drives alive.  The real concern through 6-games should be with their Redzone performance (inside the 20-yard line); a shaky 40%.  So for every ten visits to redzone, the giants kick a field goal 6.  Thing do increase when their facing “Goal to Go” with a 60% conversion rate to touchdowns.  Though you could argue 60% is still below what you’d expect when you’re within 10-yards. Especially with the multitude of weapons the Giants have on offense.

Week 6 Redzone Goal to Goweek 6 thid down

The Giants defense has played well in particular against the run but has plenty of room for improvement.  The Giants rush defense is now 7th (0.2 yards behind 6th) in the league.  Though top ten they’re slipping down the list each game as injuries chip away at their defense.  The pass defense has struggled from week 1, plagued by injuries and continues to underperform. You can draw parallels to this and their lack of pass rush.  The Giants have 8 sacks on the season just one more than the lowest.  The good news, if there is, they’re in company with some of the top defense in the NFL.

What the Giants can’t afford to repeat last Monday night. They also can’t afford to lose another NFC East game, especially against the Cowboys.  The Cowboys offense is still a big question mark with Romo out and Dez in question. But they’re pass rush is healthy and active.  The Giants will have their hands full especially since they’re 1-9 over the past three years against the Eagles and Cowboys.

 




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